Rate Lock Advisory

Tuesday, August 9th

Tuesday’s bond market has opened in negative territory due to overnight losses and unfavorable economic news. Stocks are showing early losses, pushing the Dow down 55 points and the Nasdaq down 166 points. The bond market is currently down 14/32 (2.79%). However, gains late yesterday are going to limit this morning’s increase in mortgage rates to just a slight move. If you saw an intraday improvement in pricing Monday, you will see a much more noticeable increase this morning.

14/32


Bonds


30 yr - 2.79%

55


Dow


32,776

166


NASDAQ


12,477

Mortgage Rate Trend

Trailing 90 Days - National Average

  • 30 Year Fixed
  • 15 Year Fixed
  • 5/1 ARM

Indexes Affecting Rate Lock

Medium


Negative


Productivity and Costs (Quarterly)

Employee Productivity and Costs data for the second quarter was posted at 8:30 AM ET this morning, revealing a 4.6% decline in worker output and a 10.8% jump in the labor costs reading. Both readings were a little on the bad news side for mortgage rates, but bonds were looking to open in negative ground before this report was released.

High


Unknown


Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Tomorrow brings the release us an extremely influential report that will tell us if inflation at the consumer level of the economy is starting to recede or still rising. July's Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be posted at 8:30 AM ET. It is expected to show a 0.2% increase in the overall readings and a 0.5% rise in the more important core data that excludes volatile food and energy costs. Weaker readings should help lead to lower mortgage rates since it would mean inflationary pressures were softer than thought last month.

Medium


Unknown


Treasury Auctions (5,7,10,20,30 year)

Also set for tomorrow is the 10-year Treasury Note auction that has the potential to affect rates during afternoon trading. It is fairly common to see some weakness in bonds before these sales as investors prepare for them. If it was met with a decent demand from investors, indicating that interest in longer-term securities such as mortgage-related bonds is good, we could see an intraday downward revision to mortgage pricing after results are posted at 1:00 PM ET.

Float / Lock Recommendation

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.